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Influences of Multi-scale Built Environments on Commuting Carbon Emissions — Case Study of Xi'an

Influences of Multi-scale Built Environments on Commuting Carbon Emissions — Case Study of Xi'an
Role: Participant / National College Student Innovation and Entrepreneurship Training Programme (Country-level)
Mentors: Prof. Xiaoyan Huang
Jun 2022 – May 2023

Overview

Using a dual-anchor (residence + workplace) framework and a cross-classified multilevel model on 965 commuters in Xi'an, this study measures commuting CO₂ as distance × mode-specific emission factors × traffic-condition weights and tests income heterogeneity; we find workplace contexts explain most variance, with higher parking density and higher job accessibility around workplaces associated with higher emissions, while bus-stop abundance and metro presence near workplaces reduce emissions, and living farther from the city center raises emissions; emissions are highly concentrated (top 10% generate ~67% of commuting CO₂) and effects are generally stronger for middle-to-high-income commuters, implying policy levers should prioritize workplace-side transit investment and parking management alongside income-sensitive targeting.

Spatial distribution of LI vs. MHI residences and workplaces in Xi'an; OD lines and community-level income Spatial distribution of LI vs. MHI residences and workplaces in Xi'an; OD lines and community-level income

Introduction

Urban commuting CO₂ in dense cities is jointly shaped by the built environment (BE) around both residences and workplaces. This study asks:

  1. How do residential- and workplace-area BE jointly affect commuting CO₂?
  2. Do these effects differ by income?

We implement a dual-anchor approach and explicitly test income-based disparities.

Methodology

Data & Sample

A stratified household travel survey in Xi'an (Sept–Nov 2021) yields 965 employed commuters with demographics, attitudes, preferences, perceived BE, and one-day travel diaries. Income is discretized as annual household income (AHI): LI (≤ CNY 60,000) and MHI (> CNY 60,000).

Outcome: Weighted Commuting CO₂ (WCE)

For commuter ii using mode nn:

WCEi=Di×Fn×CiWCE_i = D_i \times F_n \times C_i

where DiD_i is residence–workplace distance, FnF_n is the mode-specific emission factor, and CiC_i is a traffic-condition correction determined by urban zones. Non-motorized modes are set to zero.

Table A. Mode-specific CO₂ emission factors (used in FnF_n)

ModeEmission Factor (g CO₂/km)
Private car / Taxi233.1
Urban bus26.0
Coach20.3
Metro20.9
E-bike / Walk / Bicycle0

Table B. Traffic-condition correction factors by urban zone (used in CiC_i)

ZoneCar/Taxi SpeedCar/Taxi WeightBus SpeedBus Weight
Inside the city wall19.051.7115.761.65
City wall–2nd Ring20.991.5417.361.51
2nd Ring–Ring Expwy29.841.0624.681.04
Outside Ring Expwy31.501.0026.051.00

Explanatory Variables: Dual-Anchor Built Environment

We measure BE around residence and workplace using a 15-minute cyclist circle and the 5D framework (Density, Diversity, Design, Distance to transit, Destination accessibility).

  • Land-use mix (LUM) via entropy:
LUMi=apalnpalnNLUM_i = -\frac{\sum_a p_a \ln p_a}{\ln N}

where pap_a is the share of land-use class aa in region ii.

  • Job accessibility index (JAI) at Jiedao scale:
JAIi=Wi+j=1SWjdij2WPiJAI_i = \frac{W_i + \sum_{j=1}^{S} \frac{W_j}{d_{ij}^2}}{WP_i}

where WW is job supply, WPWP is working-age population, and dijd_{ij} are centroid distances within 4 km.

  • Transit variables: bus-stop count and a binary metro presence (≥ 1 station) within each circle.
  • Design includes parking-lot density.
  • Destination accessibility includes distance to city center (Zhonglou), nearest commercial facility, and grade school.

Modeling: Cross-Classified Multilevel Model (CCMM)

Let commuter ii live in residence community rr and work in workplace community ww.

Level-1 (individual):

WCEirw=ϕ+αr+αw+βSTXi+eirw,eirwN(0,σirw2)WCE_{irw} = \phi + \alpha_r + \alpha_w + \beta_S^T X_i + e_{irw}, \quad e_{irw} \sim N(0, \sigma_{irw}^2)

Level-2 (residence):

αr=βRTXr+er,erN(0,σr2)\alpha_r = \beta_R^T X_r + e_r, \quad e_r \sim N(0, \sigma_r^2)

Level-2 (workplace):

αw=βWTXw+ew,ewN(0,σw2)\alpha_w = \beta_W^T X_w + e_w, \quad e_w \sim N(0, \sigma_w^2)

Variance attribution (ICCs):

ICCres=σr2σirw2+σr2+σw2ICC_{res} = \frac{\sigma_r^2}{\sigma_{irw}^2 + \sigma_r^2 + \sigma_w^2} ICCwork=σw2σirw2+σr2+σw2ICC_{work} = \frac{\sigma_w^2}{\sigma_{irw}^2 + \sigma_r^2 + \sigma_w^2}

Results

R1. Distribution of emissions

Commuting CO₂ is highly concentrated: roughly 10% of commuters generate about 67% of total commuting CO₂. MHI commuters emit over 3× LI commuters on average; the disparity is driven primarily by mode choice (greater private car/taxi share), not distance.

Lorenz curve of weighted commuting CO₂ (67–10 pattern) Lorenz curve of weighted commuting CO₂ (67–10 pattern)

Mean WCE and zero-emission share across AHI levels (LI vs. MHI) Mean WCE and zero-emission share across AHI levels (LI vs. MHI)

Distributions of commute distance and mode across AHI levels; car/taxi share rises with income Distributions of commute distance and mode across AHI levels; car/taxi share rises with income

R2. Empty CCMMs (variance decomposition)

Workplace context dominates in the full sample: ICCwork=0.731ICC_{work} = 0.731 vs. ICCres=0.078ICC_{res} = 0.078. The combined (res + work) ICC is higher for MHI (0.786) than LI (0.416), implying BE explains more for MHI commuters.

Table C. Empty-model variance components and ICCs

Groupσr2\sigma_r^2σw2\sigma_w^2σirw2\sigma_{irw}^2ICCresICC_{res}ICCworkICC_{work}N
Whole sample128023.11192641.1311567.30.0780.731965
LI79081.885566.2230761.60.2000.216232
MHI130651.81306601.5391232.80.0710.715733

R3. Main effects (BE → WCE)

After controls (demographics, attitudes, preferences, perceived BE), workplace-area BE shows the strongest associations:

  • Parking-lot density (workplace) → higher WCE
  • Bus-stop count (workplace) → lower WCE
  • Metro presence (workplace) → lower WCE
  • Job accessibility (workplace) → higher WCE
  • Distance to city center (residence) → positive: farther from center ⇒ higher WCE

R4. Income heterogeneity (interactions with AHI)

Effects generally amplify with income:

  • Residence distance to city center × AHI: larger reductions when living closer to center among higher-income commuters (i.e., stronger benefit of centrality at higher income)
  • Workplace transit × AHI: bus-stop count and metro presence reduce WCE more strongly at higher incomes
  • Workplace job accessibility × AHI: more positive association at higher incomes

Table D. Selected BE × AHI interactions (direction and significance)

Interaction termDirection (MHI vs. LI)Significance (p)
dcenter_r×AHId_{center\_r} \times AHIpositive< 0.05
numbus_w×AHInum_{bus\_w} \times AHInegative< 0.05
metrow×AHImetro_w \times AHInegative0.10 to 0.001
denpark_w×AHIden_{park\_w} \times AHIpositive* to **
jaw×AHIja_w \times AHIpositive* to ***

Conclusions

  1. Workplace-area BE is the primary lever: managing parking supply and strengthening workplace-proximate transit (especially metro) are robust strategies to cut commuting CO₂ in dense cities.

  2. Income matters: many BE effects are stronger for higher-income commuters; targeted TOD and calibrated parking restraint in job centers can deliver larger absolute reductions with equity-minded transit coverage.

  3. Residential centrality still matters: living farther from the center raises emissions; avoiding unchecked suburbanization or pursuing polycentric structures can help.